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Less than half of regularized immigrants in the Canary Islands will access formal employment

AIREF projections suggest that around 44% of regularized individuals in the islands will find work within the first year.

Generic image of diverse people looking towards a future workforce.
IA

Generic image of diverse people looking towards a future workforce.

The central government's plan to regularize migrants anticipates that in the Canary Islands, approximately 13,300 individuals will gain formal employment within the first year.

Projections from the Independent Authority for Fiscal Responsibility (AIREF) indicate that following the regularization initiative by the central government, around 44% of beneficiaries in the Canary Islands, approximately 13,300 people, will integrate into the formal labor market within the first year. This means that out of the nearly 30,000 individuals whose status is expected to be regularized in the archipelago, about 4 out of 10 will gain formal employment.
This scenario unfolds against a backdrop where the Canary Islands' labor market heavily relies on tourism, hospitality, and services, sectors often facing labor shortages. AIREF's report suggests that regularization could moderately boost economic growth and bring a portion of the irregular economy into the formal sector, without negatively impacting the working conditions of existing contributors.
Nationally, it is estimated that out of 762,000 potential beneficiaries, around 337,000 will find formal employment in the first year. AIREF acknowledges a high degree of uncertainty in these forecasts, which could be more pronounced in the Canary Islands if sectors like hospitality, care services, the primary sector, or construction absorb a larger proportion of regularized individuals.
The report compares this process to the extraordinary regularization of 2005, which admitted over 607,000 applications. Current estimates suggest that Social Security will gain more new contributors than dependents on the system, and businesses will have access to the labor force they require.
AIREF calculates that, of the total 762,646 working-age individuals eligible for the measure, approximately 70% are projected to be employed in the long term, while 11% will remain unemployed, and 17% will not participate in the labor market.
The requirements for regularization include submitting applications by June 30. The administration will have three months to process them, but applicants can enter the labor market once their request is admitted for processing, which could expedite their labor integration.

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